What a great man Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is; he interfered in Lebanon and divided the country, he put his hands on Iraq and as a result the Iraqis are still searching for a way to reconcile with themselves, he vowed to help the Palestinian cause and he divided a people under occupation, the same thing happened in the Gulf and in Yemen.
Today it is Iran's turn, and the Iranians have divided sharply amongst themselves. The reasons for this is the same, Ahmadinejad and the policies that he represents, and the announcement of his election victory represents a severe blow [to the world], and is evidence of the danger that the Iranian project represents as a whole.
What is interesting about the announcement of the electoral results that the Iranians are calling into question is that this came from the Interior Ministry, the same Interior Ministry whose former head was convicted of using a forged PhD from a British University.
Generally in elections it is worth noting that when there is a high voter turnout this means one of two things; a desire for change or an expression of anger. The Iranian election result means that the desire of the people has been denied, and their anger continues.
This is why the Supreme Leader (of Iran) called for the candidates and their supporters to accept the (election) results, he also put the Revolutionary Guards on alert fearing the outbreak of rioting, as well as canceling some university exams in fear of those who wear angry at the falsification of results.
Therefore what is happening in Iran is an indication of Iranian division, and the failure of the policies that Ahmadinejad represents which have angered and shocked the Iranians themselves. We do not know the position of the Arabs who are more Iranian than the Iranians themselves but before they descend upon us to make their justifications, it must be noted that the contesting of the (electoral) results and the overwhelming anger is not coming from outside of Iran, but is internal and coming from the Iranians themselves. It is very important that those who accept the election results do not lie to or intimidate the people.
Therefore Ahmadinejad winning a second term in office in this manner, and in the midst of popular doubt over the electoral results will have large implications for Iran and the future of the region. It has become clear to the West, and particularly the Americans, that Ahmadinejad's policies do not enjoy unanimous support in Iran. It appears that the winds of change that have swept through the region have caused a sandstorm in Iran; this is the opposite of what U.S. President Barack Obama thought when he said that he saw a change coming in Tehran.
Ahmadinejad's re-election in this manner will lead to international intransigence towards Iran on all outstanding issues, most notably Iran's nuclear project, on the grounds that a regime that did not hesitate to manipulate election results, disrespecting the will of the voters, will similarly be unable to respect international charters. Therefore negotiations with Iran will be extremely tough, and it must always be taken into account that the regime does not enjoy popular support in Iran, which will only exacerbate the issues, especially with regards to the end of year deadline set by Washington on Iran (to halt its nuclear project.)
As we have previously said, Ahmadinejad and the policies that he represents have divided the entire region, and today they have divided Iran. This means that the negative potential outcomes have returned, from sanctions to war, and more importantly than all this, Ahmadinejad's re-election in this manner may adversely affect Iran, internally and externally.
*Published in the London-based ASHARQ ALAWSAT on June 14.